R to @ForeignPolicy: "I don't see how these half campaigns, aerial campaigns, will change Iran's calculus," says Nate Swanson. "It hasn't, and I guess it's hypothetically plausible

"I don't see how these half campaigns, aerial campaigns, will change Iran's calculus," says Nate Swanson. "It hasn't, and I guess it's hypothetically plausible that the blockade could at some point. But we just gave them a pretty significant chunk of oil sales in the short time the MOU was in effect, and even then, they've proven that they were still probably months and months away from actually feeling so much pressure that they would capitulate.